No Deal ? WTF ?

OK, so you’re bored with Brexit. I get it. So am I. 

But what do they mean by No Deal ? I mean in a kind of normal, day to day come 2019, kind of way. We have gone from Brexit means Brexit, via No Deal is better than a Bad Deal, to No Deal point blank; fired left and right and centre. And No Deal means:  

No Deal means No Deal ? 

So all that money wasted on the EU now safe in the coffers of Albion. No Deal, No Pay. And -best of all- a big eff-off to Juncker. Can’t blame you. Arrogant man. Mind you, Davis does have an air about him too, to be fair. But I see the political logic. 

The will of the people. Democracy. Government delivers. Sovereignty. 

So far I understand how this pans out.
December 2019.
What happens to everyday life in England then ?
That’s what I’d like to understand. For people and businesses, week in, week out. People know within their lives, and their trade how the EU affects them. 

Who has an overall picture ? 

If we have no deal on anything, what happens to everything in 2019. When the EU has been imposing their ways on so much, what are the new British-out-of-the-EU ways ? 

What does it mean to Mr Smith who exports marmelade to France and employ 63 people. Or to Mrs Jones who imports mozzarella (buffalo, obviously) from Italy and employs 12 people in a tiny village.
Or to nurse Pierre who still can’t decide whether he should become settled or citizen; or whether he should as his friend Doctor Olga and her family have done, just leave as he is still unclear about his future.
We know what it means to Alexandra who works for EURATOM so had to move to mainland EU, like Paul at the Pharmaceutical Agency, and Mary at the Banking Agency who also had to relocate. 

What will it mean for the restaurants and hotels around these agencies, apart from hoping the new companies that might now lease these vacated buildings will equally have as many visitors to keep their business going, I imagine. 

No this is not Project Fear V2, I realise most people don’t work for these agencies.   

It may be that most people and most companies in the UK won’t be directly affected. So it may not be such a big problem in the balance of things after all. But, what about any company’s tools, their supplies, whatever they may be, are they all British made or will they be more expensive if the pound has not recovered ? What about those cars parts that have to cross the Channel several times, before the car is finally British made and British sold ? What about our day to day food, how much of it actually comes from the UK ? Rice, flour, tea, baked beans, do they not need paperwork, some kind of food safety check, will they become more expensive, will we need to employ people to check safety and all that ?  

Maybe if things are more expensive, but there is more British made or Produced, it will be good for the economy, employing more people. Will everybody be able to afford more expensive food ? What about energy ? Maybe the government will help people who are struggling more, and the country will just have to pay the price for new import and export tariffs, a price worth paying for sovereignty. 

I can see how some people would think so, though those who already find themselves stuck in debt might not see such a bright light at the end of their tunnel if their budget takes yet another hit.  

What happens if the UK does not pay anything to the EU, as is her right by law, according to Jacob Rees Smog, what happens to current investments, paid over a period of time that goes into the future, by the EU to British regions, academic or research establishments, or companies ? 

Does a No Deal work both ways ?  

The British Government can cover this potential new cost from the savings of not paying the EU, so it should not be a problem. Do we know what these sums are ? Has the UK government agreed to cover the losses from the EU payments to all regions, establishments, companies ? This no doubt will not be a matter of No Deal but a matter of taking back control all the way down to the poor regions. Some will trust it will, others won’t. The future will give us the answer.

The questions are worth asking now though aren’t they ? 

Another good thing about not having to rely on the EU for all these things they have been imposing upon us, is that now the UK can employ its own people to do the jobs the EU unelected technocrats (and civil servants) used to do, making the balance of employment in the UK much better. Obviously these new employees will now have to be paid out of the British budget rather than be shared with 26 others, but at least they’ll be ours and ours alone, do as we say. No compromise.  

Quite how many will be needed I have no idea. What I do know is that Home Office has agreed they will need more civil servants to sort out the EU citizens’ status one way or another. They’re not sure of the numbers just yet. 

And the Border Agency is likely to be busier ensuring illegal immigrants do not pass through, and, we assume, also ensure all EU citizens have some kind of paperwork proving they can come in, whatever that paperwork will be. 

Apart from that, well, I don’t know, probably trade negotiators (surely Liam Fox is going to need help), international lawyers (preferably knowledgable in EU law with these new (old) laws to be translated into English fluidity from European rigidness), do we have enough people in the Food Standard Agency, what about that Pharmaceutical Agency ? Lots of new jobs. Lots of new expenses. 

So, how much is all that going to cost then ? 

And how are planes going to fly in and our of the EU if we made No Deal on the airspace ? So many questions. No Deal does not have to be the end of the world as we know it, obviously. But I can’t help but wonder, as I don’t recall any Leave campaign putting forward a No Deal scenario (not even Farage and he was the keenest of them all) there was always some kind of deal, a great deal generally. 

And now the country is preparing for No Deal. What does the Advertising Standard Authority have to say about selling the country a Deal and delivering No Deal ?

Do we need to employ more Advertising Standard Officers ? 


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